Tournament Leaderboard

Aggregated results from 1,388 simulations

Most Likely Champion

(1) Arizona

58.9%

Biggest Bust

(1) Florida

0.0% champ

Upset King

(6) Louisville

2,542 upset wins

Region

Seed

Conference

#	Team	Seed	Total Win% ↓	Champ.	FF%	E8%	S16%	Upsets
1	(1)Arizona Big 12 · WEST	1	92.2%	58.9%	98.8%	107.1%	107.1%	0
2	(2)Iowa State Big 12 · MIDWEST	2	87.3%	33.1%	75.4%	96.1%	99.8%	1,609
3	(1)Michigan Big Ten · MIDWEST	1	77.6%	1.4%	22.8%	106.6%	107.1%	0
4	(1)Duke ACC · EAST	1	77.0%	1.4%	38.8%	95.0%	95.0%	0
5	(2)Purdue Big Ten · WEST	2	75.4%	0.0%	8.4%	81.1%	89.7%	116
6	(3)Illinois Big Ten · SOUTH	3	74.3%	0.0%	40.9%	78.3%	95.4%	1,656
7	(6)Louisville ACC · EAST	6	73.0%	0.0%	54.0%	69.9%	71.5%	2,542
8	(2)Houston Big 12 · SOUTH	2	72.7%	2.5%	27.1%	28.8%	107.1%	394
9	(1)Florida SEC · SOUTH	1	72.2%	0.0%	0.0%	64.0%	107.2%	0
10	(4)Nebraska Big Ten · SOUTH	4	70.5%	0.0%	39.2%	43.2%	64.5%	1,164
11	(5)Wisconsin Big Ten · WEST	5	66.6%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	89.5%	1,239
12	(5)Texas Tech Big 12 · MIDWEST	5	66.6%	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	105.8%	1,473
13	(6)Tennessee SEC · MIDWEST	6	66.6%	0.0%	0.4%	0.7%	88.6%	1,246
14	(3)Michigan St Big Ten · EAST	3	63.4%	2.6%	8.1%	28.7%	28.7%	506
15	(6)BYU Big 12 · WEST	6	63.2%	0.0%	0.0%	9.9%	73.5%	1,153
16	(2)UConn Big East · EAST	2	62.1%	0.0%	0.3%	1.8%	85.4%	0
17	(5)Vanderbilt SEC · SOUTH	5	58.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	42.7%	592
18	(3)Gonzaga WCC · WEST	3	58.2%	0.0%	0.0%	5.8%	32.5%	80
19	(5)St John's Big East · EAST	5	57.8%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	71.9%	998
20	(11)VCU A-10 · SOUTH	11	51.7%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	11.7%	1,431
21	(11)SMU ACC · FIRST FOUR	11	50.8%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	0.2%	78
22	(4)Alabama SEC · MIDWEST	4	50.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	1.3%	1
23	(3)Virginia ACC · MIDWEST	3	50.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
24	(9)Utah State Mountain West · WEST	9	50.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	1,487
25	(4)Arkansas SEC · WEST	4	49.7%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	0
26	(10)Texas A&M SEC · SOUTH	10	49.6%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	1,462
27	(9)Iowa Big Ten · SOUTH	9	49.6%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	1,462
28	(9)Saint Louis A-10 · MIDWEST	9	49.6%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	1,461
29	(16)UMBC America East · FIRST FOUR	16	49.5%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
30	(9)TCU Big 12 · EAST	9	49.0%	0.0%	5.8%	12.2%	12.2%	1,179
31	(4)Kansas Big 12 · EAST	4	48.5%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	12.0%	0
32	(16)Lehigh Patriot · FIRST FOUR	16	48.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
33	(11)NC State ACC · FIRST FOUR	11	44.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	10
34	(10)UCF Big 12 · EAST	10	41.8%	0.0%	0.0%	1.2%	8.9%	958
35	(7)Kentucky SEC · MIDWEST	7	35.9%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	2
36	(7)Miami FL ACC · WEST	7	34.9%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
37	(10)Missouri SEC · WEST	10	31.9%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	695
38	(10)Santa Clara WCC · MIDWEST	10	30.6%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	656
39	(12)Northern Iowa MVC · EAST	12	30.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	13.8%	525
40	(7)UCLA Big Ten · EAST	7	28.2%	0.0%	0.2%	0.2%	1.4%	9
41	(8)Ohio St Big Ten · EAST	8	24.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
42	(15)Furman SoCon · EAST	15	22.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	11.3%	419
43	(11)Texas SEC · WEST	11	21.7%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	3.1%	92
44	(13)Cal Baptist WAC · EAST	13	20.5%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	9.4%	384
45	(11)South Florida American · EAST	11	19.6%	0.0%	0.0%	5.3%	7.0%	291
46	(14)Penn Ivy · SOUTH	14	9.9%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	163
47	(16)Prairie View SWAC · SOUTH	16	7.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
48	(6)North Carolina ACC · SOUTH	6	3.6%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
49	(13)Hawaii Big West · WEST	13	3.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	1.2%	47
50	(11)Miami OH MAC · MIDWEST	11	1.9%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
51	(16)Howard MEAC · MIDWEST	16	1.8%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
52	(8)Georgia SEC · MIDWEST	8	1.7%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
53	(8)Clemson ACC · SOUTH	8	1.7%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
54	(7)Saint Mary's WCC · SOUTH	7	1.7%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
55	(12)High Point Big South · WEST	12	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	3
56	(13)Hofstra CAA · MIDWEST	13	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	1
57	(15)Idaho Big Sky · SOUTH	15	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
58	(8)Villanova Big East · WEST	8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
59	(14)Kennesaw St CUSA · WEST	14	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
60	(12)Akron MAC · MIDWEST	12	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
61	(12)McNeese Southland · SOUTH	12	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
62	(14)North Dakota St Summit · EAST	14	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
63	(15)Queens ASUN · WEST	15	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
64	(16)Siena MAAC · EAST	16	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
65	(15)Tennessee St OVC · MIDWEST	15	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
66	(13)Troy Sun Belt · SOUTH	13	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
67	(14)Wright St Horizon · MIDWEST	14	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
68	(16)LIU NEC · WEST	16	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0